In an improvement over last season I’m only a quarter of a season late with this.
|Team||Exp pos||Exp points||Exp ±|
|West Bromwich Albion||8||56||+2|
|Queens Park Rangers||19||37||-16|
So the main discrepancy here is obviously Manchester City. It’s worth mentioning once more that this is a basic model that relies solely on last seasons performance.
Once again this model has predicted that Wigan and Arsenal will be much higher than they are at this point. I’m at a bit of a loss to explain this. They’re both teams that play passing football and so I’d expect that if any teams in the league were to utilise the benefit from whatever skill lies in shooting percentage it would be those playing passing football that style of football but obviously this isn’t the case.
And to this point Norwich are doing pretty well although I don’t expect them to be in the top half of the table come the end of the season.
I may revisit this at the end of the season to see how it pans out at the end of the season.