The title race – 8 games to go

It’s getting a bit closer. United have been dominant in their last three games, and their list of comparable teams has improved to reflect this, City have been almost as good but not got the results to show for it

The same plot and table as before

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Expected points Chance of winning the title
Man United ~86 ~39%
Man City ~87 ~61%

We’re basically in coin flip territory and as of now both teams have virtually identical quality of competition for the remaining fixtures. It should go without saying but whoever wins the derby is going to have a massive advantage.

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