The race for the NHL playoffs, week 6

Very similar to the way I’ve been doing these posts for the Premiership (link), but as I don’t have the game-by-game results for the NHL, the % teams are represents the proportion of teams that have achieved the required pace over a full season.

East: (Teams need 53 points to get in, unchanged from week 5)

Screen Shot 2013-02-24 at 6.46.48 PM

It’s been a good week for the Sens, the Bruins, Habs, and Pens are basically in, the Isles and Rangers lost ground, whilst the Sabres and Panthers effectively eliminated themselves (to make it in they’d need records of something like 18-7-4, and 18-8-3, respectively).

West: (Teams need 54 points to get in, one fewer than week 5)

Screen Shot 2013-02-24 at 10.11.38 PM

The Blackhawks qualify, the Kings should now make it, and the Canucks are off to a fine start, although they were always going to finish top of their division. The Blue Jackets are out, the Preds are back in coin flip territory, whilst Edmonton lost a fair amount of ground this week.

As Tyler Dellow has outlined on twitter, six spots are essentially taken in the West, where CHI/VAN/STL/LAK/SJS will make it on merit and, whilst the Ducks aren’t very good, they’d require something special to fall out of the top eight. That leaves two spots to spread between the seven teams that are somewhere between 0 and 2 games above 0.500 (Colorado are terrible). The East looks kind of similar too, with five teams needing a point-per-game or less to get in. Of the following pack, Toronto has a healthy lead but are a terrible possession team (link). The Rangers probably make it and I quite like what I’ve seen of Carolina, but there’s a lot of teams in coin flip territory there.


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