The race for the NHL playoffs, week 8

Very similar to the way I’ve been doing these posts for the Premiership (link), but as I don’t have the game-by-game results for the NHL, the % teams are represents the proportion of teams that have achieved the required pace over a full season. For last weeks standings see here.

East: (Teams need 53 points to get in, unchanged from week 7)

Screen Shot 2013-03-11 at 8.23.09 AM

Boston and Montreal are in, and Florida have gone. The Flyers (1-3-0) and the Lightning (1-3-0) did an excellent job of effectively eliminating themselves. At this point it would be somewhat of a surprise to see anyone but the Jets punctuate the top eight over the rest of the season.

West: (Teams need 54 points to get in, unchanged from week 7)

Screen Shot 2013-03-11 at 8.23.20 AM

Anaheim join Chicago, and a .500 record from here on out probably guarantees them the second seed in the conference, which is incredible, because they’re terrible. There’s more teams in play here than the East but it’s tough to believe anyone below Nashville will get in. Speaking of the Predators they didn’t have the best week (1-2-1 since their last update), and the Albertan teams are pretty much done (Oilers: 1-2-1, Flames: 1-2-0).

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One thought on “The race for the NHL playoffs, week 8

  1. Wouldn’t this method tend to underestimate the chance of a comeback? Seems much more likely that a team can manage an above-average 28 points in any 22-game session than to have that pace for the entire season (104 points in 82)

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