2014-15 Premiership Predictions

For predictions from previous seasons see the following links: 2011-12, 2012-13, 2013-14

For analysis of predictions in prior seasons see here: 2011-12, 2012-13, 2013-14

These predictions are based on Team Ratings – the methodology of which can be found here

Finally for pre-season predictions of the points scored by the teams in the next four tiers of English football see here

Screen Shot 2014-08-15 at 8.42.53 AM

Per the model, here’s the probability that a given team will win or finish in the Champions League places:

Screen Shot 2014-08-16 at 2.28.07 PM

And finally, per the model, the probability that a given team will be relegated:

Screen Shot 2014-08-16 at 2.35.06 PM

2 thoughts on “2014-15 Premiership Predictions

  1. James, as a football fan (Liverpool FC) with no statistical background, I find your TSR rating interesting, but I have to question any method that gives Southampton a cat in hells chance of making the Champions League, I’d be interested in you analysing that outlier in more detail.

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