Title/European places/Bottom Three implications for Premiership matches 51-60

Firstly by combining the performance of teams in ’13-14 and ’14-15, here how the Team Rating currently projects the Premiership to finish graphically:

Screen Shot 2014-09-25 at 12.01.42 PM

And in table form:

Screen Shot 2014-09-25 at 11.58.52 AM

So, onto this weekend matches – what are the implications of each of the results on the teams playing the games?

If you want to skip down to a particular game the matches are in the following order

1. Liverpool v Everton
2. Chelsea v Villa
3. Palace v Leicester
4. Hull v Man City
5. Man United v West Ham
6. Southampton v QPR
7. Sunderland v Swansea
8. Arsenal v Spurs
9. West Brom v Burnley
10. Stoke v Newcastle

1. Liverpool v Everton
Both teams can be safe in the knowledge that victory deals a fairly sizeable blow to their opponents European aspirations – a nice bit of added spice.

Screen Shot 2014-09-24 at 7.12.58 PM

2. Chelsea v Villa
At this point Villa look very likely mid-table candidates. Chelsea on the other hand move to being fairly comfortable title favourites with a win.

Screen Shot 2014-09-24 at 7.17.48 PM

3. Palace v Leicester
Has implications at the bottom but both sides are currently too safe for it to be deemed a classic six pointer

Screen Shot 2014-09-24 at 7.19.58 PM

4. Hull v Man City
Massive for City. Anything other than a win is likely to give Chelsea a big lead in the title race

Screen Shot 2014-09-24 at 7.22.15 PM

5. Man United v West Ham
With a loss United would be down to just a 1 in 7 chance of being the top four. They’d be above 1 in 5 with a win

Screen Shot 2014-09-24 at 7.24.35 PM

6. Southampton v QPR
Probably the set of predictions that stand out most between my model and others. It loves So’ton and with a win it would have them as odds on to get a top four place. QPR on the other hand would move to coin flip territory with regards to relegation should they lose

Screen Shot 2014-09-24 at 7.26.42 PM

7. Sunderland v Swansea
Yawn, really. Sunderland could do with avoiding defeat but both sides look pretty set for a mid table finish.

Screen Shot 2014-09-24 at 7.28.27 PM

8. Arsenal v Spurs
Similar implications to the Merseyside derby. Massive derby

Screen Shot 2014-09-25 at 12.26.37 PM

9. West Brom v Burnley
A defeat and Kenny Loggins is coming knocking, Burnley

Screen Shot 2014-09-24 at 7.32.12 PM

10. Stoke v Newcastle
Yawn. Why bother? this should have been hidden away at 3 pm on Saturday rather than showcased on Monday night. There’s about a 2 in 3 chance of them both teams finishing mid-table regardless of the result

Screen Shot 2014-09-24 at 7.33.48 PM

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